Summary:Â It becomes increasingly clear that the rate of technological progress might accelerate in the coming years, taking us to an unknown world. Here we look at singularities past and future to help chart a course ahead, avoiding the dangers and seizing the benefits. This is a revised version of a post from 2007, one …
Looking at technological singularities in our past & future Read More »
Summary:Â US growth is slowing when it should be accelerating as we shake off the effects of the crash. The possibility of a fifth year of slow growth strengthens fears of stagnation like that afflicting Japan since 1990. Yet there’s good reason to suspect that a new industrial revolution has begun, potentially generating incredible new …
Do we face secular stagnation or a new industrial revolution? Read More »
Summary: We cannot reliably see the future. Every decade begins with confident forecasts, usually proven wrong. Too many variables, too many complex dynamics interacting. But we can examine individual trends, the usual work of the FM website. Here we pull together the threads, a mixture of challenges and opportunities that loom over the next ten …
See the trends shaping our future. Be forewarned, so you can prepare. Read More »
Summary:Â “Is the economy in technological stagnation? Or will computers take all our jobs?” An analysis from the Fed gives us an answer. Another in a series of posts about the future of America’s economy and the coming of the next industrial revolution. . “The Productivity Paradox: Is Technology Failing or Fueling Growth?” By Andrew …
Looking at America’s future: economic stagnation, or will computers take our jobs? Read More »
Summary: The FM website has a great record of providing unpopular but accurate forecasts to its readers, but a poor record of updating them. Once they become consensus insights we drop them. Another in a series about the next industrial revolution now starting; see the links at the end to other posts. Today let’s revisit …
Ben Bernanke sees the great slowdown in technological progress Read More »
