Summary: We have had many episodes of lone wolf terrorism. Each produces a tsunami of stories, but so far no strategic effects. Here Stratfor examines grassroots terrorism, helping us to better know what to expect. Putting Grassroots Terrorism in the Proper Perspective Lead analyst: Scott Stewart. Stratfor, 8 December 2016. When it comes to claiming … Continue reading Stratfor cuts through the hype about grassroots terrorism
Summary: A large literature discusses the effectiveness of foreign armies and their tools against insurgencies, but few ask about the other side. Does terrorism work for insurgents? A new book by Richard English fills that gap, with some surprising conclusions. Since terrorism is a key tool of 4GW, the dominant form of war in our … Continue reading Does terrorism work? Richard English gives the answer.
Summary: The Nice incident was the latest in a long series of jihadist attacks in Europe. Here we look at the mass immigration which made it almost inevitable, and the likely effects. The resulting political destabilization will make mitigate (there is no cure) more difficult -- and more attacks are coming. The attack in Nice … Continue reading Causes and effects of the Nice attack