Demography

The migration of peoples and changes in fertility and lifespans — one of the most powerful forces shaping our world.

Will the aging and urbanization of America limit the size of our armed forces?

Cultural and demographic changes could make recruiting more difficult over the next generation or two, perhaps even limiting the size of our volunteer military forces. Urbanization and cultural change The US military recruits most effectively from a relatively small and shrinking fraction of the US population.  This has ominous implications for the future.  Just as our imperial ambitions might …

Will the aging and urbanization of America limit the size of our armed forces? Read More »

Is Iran dangerous, or a paper tiger?

Why has starting wars – aggressive wars, for conquest – usually proved fruitless in the modern era, the past few centuries (even back to the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648). Perhaps because so often the aggressors know so little about their targets, their designated victims. Japan’s elites knew little about America in 1941 – neither its …

Is Iran dangerous, or a paper tiger? Read More »

Scroll to Top