Demography

The migration of peoples and changes in fertility and lifespans — one of the most powerful forces shaping our world.

More news about Russia’s demographic collapse

Excerpt from “Demography and development in Russia“, UN Development Program (28 April 2008) – Excerpt: Demographic development in Russia that to a large extent has much in common with the European one is characterized by the following trends: 1. It is already for forty years that fertility in Russia cannot provide for the simple replacement …

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“The Return of Patriarchy“ – a classic article about demography

Today we look at “The Return of Patriarchy“, Phillip Longman of New America Foundation, Foreign Policy , 1 March 2006 — Gated.  Alternate site, free. Summary:  “Across the globe, people are choosing to have fewer children or none at all. Governments are desperate to halt the trend, but their influence seems to stop at the …

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Another front in the geopolitical struggles shaping our world: demography

Summary:  this is the first in a new series, considering one of the most powerful geopolitical forces of our time:  demographic change.  This first chapter looks at one of the more interesting — even exotic — writers about these things:  Spengler. Many forces shape our world.  Some work quickly, like the four horsemen — war, …

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Experts, with wrinkled brows, warn about the future

Summary: Experts often see the future with alarm, seeing the dangers but not benefits. That gets attention, from both the media and an increasinly fearful public. Both sides feed this process. It need not be so, as most trends contain the seeds of good and bad futures. This post considers two examples. Over several decades …

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Let us light a candle while we walk, lest we fear what lies ahead

Innovation of new forms of society and technology. It is the key to our progress. It has allowed us to evolve from naked hunter-gatherers to the dominant species on this planet. This process is slow, normally taking hundreds or even thousands of years. But occasionally evolution leaps forward. ** Many people look to the future …

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