Summary: As our leads start the second Cold War (for their own purposes), let's remember America's betrayal at the end of the first Cold War. It soured the peace and prevented any lasting rapprochement between our nations. See the results below this report. Let's learn from this shameful history. Russia certainly has. "NATO Expansion: What … Continue reading We ended the Cold War by lying to Russia. They remember.
Summary: As Trump and his general-dominated foreign policy team expand and intensify our wars, the calls for more killing rise again. As in an article in the respected journal of the Navy Institute. We should just say no. “Insanity is repeating the same mistakes and expecting different results.” — No said by Einstein but by Alcoholics … Continue reading Don’t listen to the calls for more killing in the WOT
Summary: Managing our increasingly complex world, where the past gives ever less guidance about the future, requires reliable predictions. Here Martin van Creveld provides a guide to prophecy, and the many ways it has been done -- from the distant past through today. When next you read confident forecasts, this will help you assess their … Continue reading Martin van Creveld explains the use of experts and oracles
Summary: Today we debunk an especially ugly myth of the Right, in which they twist the history of Thanksgiving to serve their political aims. Learn the truth. Read to the end for the big twist ending. Giving us a faux history as the foundation for a New America “It’s all about power and the unassailable … Continue reading Debunking a right-wing myth about Thanksgiving
Summary: Confidence rules America, with US markets at or near record high valuations and Team Trump expanding our wars. Time for a reminder that our ability to predict events is small, which means these moments of great confidence are periods of high risk. This is a revised post from 2014. “We seem to be living … Continue reading WWI warns us about markets’ ability to see the future