Roger Pielke Jr. describes the decay of climate science

Climate War

Summary: Science and public policy collide in climate science as they have in few fields. Here Roger Pielke Jr., describes an example of how the resulting stress has begun to corrupt the field. "Pielke on Climate" - Part 1 of 3. Institutional decay in climate science. By Roger Pielke Jr. at The Climate Fix. Posted … Continue reading Roger Pielke Jr. describes the decay of climate science

WWI warns us about markets’ ability to see the future

Forecasting with models

Summary: Confidence rules America, with US markets at or near record high valuations and Team Trump expanding our wars. Time for a reminder that our ability to predict events is small, which means these moments of great confidence are periods of high risk. This is a revised post from 2014. “We seem to be living … Continue reading WWI warns us about markets’ ability to see the future

Jessica Mathews: why scuttling the Iran deal is MAD

ranian poster of the Great Satan and the Ayatollah

Summary: Trump apparently intends to scuttle the nuclear arms control deal with Iran. Here an expert explains that the reasons he gives are wrong and that the consequences will be ugly for both us and for them. For more information see the previous posts in this series, listed at the end. Iranian students with pictures … Continue reading Jessica Mathews: why scuttling the Iran deal is MAD

Omar Ali: Islam vs. Western liberalism; only one can win

"No democracy we want just islam."

Summary: The clash of Islam and West has just began and none can see its end -- or its consequences for us all. Here Omar Ali looks at Islam's effect on the West, and draws some fascinating conclusions. "Is Islam the rock on which the liberal order broke?" By Omar Ali at Brown Pundits, 5 December … Continue reading Omar Ali: Islam vs. Western liberalism; only one can win

Ali Shihabi explains what the media won’t about Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia flag

Summary: This is the best analysis I have seen of the recent events in Saudi Arabia, which will shake the region and perhaps the world. It is by someone with deep knowledge of that nation. It is a perspective seldom seen in the US news media -- but which matches the known facts and is … Continue reading Ali Shihabi explains what the media won’t about Saudi Arabia